Former President Donald Trump is leading President Joe Biden in all seven surveyed 2024 swing states, with Biden losing the 1 percentage-point lead over Trump he had in Michigan last month. Trump leads in each state as follows: Arizona (+3 points), Georgia (+7 points), Michigan (+4 points), Nevada (+5 points), North Carolina (+11 points), Pennsylvania (+1 point) and Wisconsin (+6 points). With the exception of Georgia and North Carolina, these results fall within each state’s margin of error. These results are from a ballot listing President Joe Biden, former President Donald Trump, and third-party candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West and Jill Stein, as well as options for respondents to choose an unlisted candidate, answer “don’t know/no opinion” or say they wouldn’t vote. Jill Stein was added to this ballot question since the last wave of this study, though just 1% of voters in Michigan — the only state to change its leaning from Biden to Trump — backed her.
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